Clinical and Laboratory Predictors of Mortality in Severe COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Retrospective Study from India

OBJECTIVE: Wide arrays of laboratory parameters have been proposed by many studies for prognosis in COVID-19 patients. In this study, we wanted to determine if the International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium score in addition to certain clinical and laboratory parameters would help in predicting mortality. We wanted to determine if a greater severity score on chest x-ray at presentation translated to poor patient outcomes using the COVID-19 chest radiography score. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This retrospective study was conducted at SDS TRC and Rajiv Gandhi Institute of chest diseases, Bangalore from March 2021 to June 2021. This study included 202 real-time-polymerase chain reaction-positive COVID-19 patients aged above 18 years admitted to the intensive care unit of our hospital. Demographic characteristics and baseline hematological and inflammatory markers (serum C-reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, troponin-I, ferritin, and d-dimer) were collected. Radiological severity on a chest x-ray was assessed using the validated COVID-19 chest radiography score. The International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium score was assigned to each patient within 24 hours of intensive care unit admission. Outcome studied was in-hospital mortality. RESULT(S): The overall mortality was 54.9% (111 cases). Age more than 50 years, >4 days of symptoms, peripheral oxygen saturation/ fraction of inspired oxygen ratio less than 200, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase >398.5 IU/L, and hypoalbuminemia (<2.95 g/dL) were detected as independent predictors of mortality. A significant correlation of risk stratification with mortality (P = .057) was seen with International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium score. There was no significant correlation between the COVID-19 chest radiography score and mortality. CONCLUSION(S): Age >50 years, peripheral oxygen saturation/fraction of inspired oxygen ratio <200, mean symptom duration of >4 days, elevated serum lactate dehydrogenase, and hypoalbuminemia are independent predictors of mortality in severe COVID-19 pneumonia. International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium score was different in the survivors and deceased.Copyright © Author(s).

Prognostication using SpO2/FiO2 in invasively ventilated ICU patients with ARDS due to COVID-19 - Insights from the PRoVENT-COVID study.

BACKGROUND: The SpO2/FiO2 is a useful oxygenation parameter with prognostic capacity in patients with ARDS. We investigated the prognostic capacity of SpO2/FiO2 for mortality in patients with ARDS due to COVID-19. METHODS: This was a post-hoc analysis of a national multicenter cohort study in invasively ventilated patients with ARDS due to COVID-19. The primary endpoint was 28-day mortality. RESULTS: In 869 invasively ventilated patients, 28-day mortality was 30.1%. The SpO2/FiO2 on day 1 had no prognostic value. The SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 had prognostic capacity for death, with the best cut-offs being 179 and 199, respectively. Both SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 (OR, 0.66 [95%-CI 0.46-0.96]) and on day 3 (OR, 0.70 [95%-CI 0.51-0.96]) were associated with 28-day mortality in a model corrected for age, pH, lactate levels and kidney dysfunction (AUROC 0.78 [0.76-0.79]). The measured PaO2/FiO2 and the PaO2/FiO2 calculated from SpO2/FiO2 were strongly correlated (Spearman's r = 0.79). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of patients with ARDS due to COVID-19, the SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 are independently associated with and have prognostic capacity for 28-day mortality. The SpO2/FiO2 is a useful metric for risk stratification in invasively ventilated COVID-19 patients.

Filterability of Erythrocytes in Patients with COVID-19.

For the first time, the influence of COVID-19 on blood microrheology was studied. For this, the method of filtering erythrocytes through filters with pores of 3.5 µm was used. Filterability was shown to significantly decrease with the increasing severity of the patient's condition, as well as with a decrease in the ratio of hemoglobin oxygen saturation to the oxygen fraction in the inhaled air (SpO2/FiO2). The filterability of ≤ 0.65, or its fast decrease during treatment, were indicators of a poor prognosis. Filterability increased significantly with an increase in erythrocyte count, hematocrit and blood concentrations of hemoglobin, albumin, and total protein. The effect of these parameters on the erythrocyte filterability is directly opposite to their effect on blood macrorheology, where they all increase blood viscosity, worsening the erythrocyte deformability. The erythrocyte filterability decreased with increasing oxygen supply rate, especially in patients on mechanical ventilation, apparently not due to the oxygen supplied, but to the deterioration of the patients' condition. Filterability significantly correlates with the C-reactive protein, which indicates that inflammation affects the blood microrheology in the capillaries. Thus, the filterability of erythrocytes is a good tool for studying the severity of the patient's condition and his prognosis in COVID-19.

The role of a noninvasive index 'Spo2/ Fio2' in predicting mortality among patients with COVID-19 pneumonia.

INTRODUCTION: Noninvasive risk assessment is crucial in patients with COVID-19 in emergency department. Since limited data is known about the role of noninvasive parameters, we aimed to evaluate the role of a noninvasive parameter 'SpO2/FiO2' in independently predicting 30-day mortality in patients with COVID-19 and its prognostic utility in combination with a noninvasive score 'CRB-65'. METHODS: A retrospective study was performed in a tertiary training and research hospital, which included 272 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia diagnosed with polymerase chain reaction in emergency department. Data on characteristics, vital signs, and laboratory parameters were recorded from electronic medical records. The primary outcome of the study was 30-day mortality, and we assessed the discriminative ability of SpO2/FiO2 in predicting mortality in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia and its prognostic utility in combination with conventional pneumonia risk assessment scores. RESULTS: Multivariate analysis revealed that only SpO2/FiO2 level was found to be an independent parameter associated with 30-day mortality (OR:0.98, 95% CI: 0.98-0.99, p = 0.003). PSI and CURB-65 were found to be better scores than CRB-65 in predicting 30-day mortality (AUC: 0.79 vs 0.72, p = 0.04; AUC: 0.76 vs 0.72, p = 0.01 respectively). Both SpO2/FiO2 combined with CRB-65 and SpO2/FiO2 combined with CURB-65 have good discriminative ability and seemed to be more favorable than PSI in predicting 30-days mortality (AUC: 0.83 vs 0.75; AUC: 0.84 vs 0.75), however no significant difference was found (p = 0.21 and p = 0.06, respectively). CONCLUSION: SpO2/FiO2 is a promising index in predicting mortality. Addition of SpO2/FiO2 to CRB-65 improved the role of CRB-65 alone, however it performed similar to PSI. The combined noninvasive model of SpO2/FiO2 and CRB-65 may help physicians quickly stratify COVID-19 patients on admission, which is expected to be particularly important in hospitals still stressed by pandemic volumes.

Peripheral oxygen saturation to inspiratory oxygen fraction ratio-based identification of critically ill coronavirus disease patients for early therapeutic interventions.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of critically ill coronavirus disease (COVID-19) patients in clinical settings is crucial in reducing the mortality rate. Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether the saturation of peripheral oxygen (SpO2) to fraction of inspiratory oxygen (FiO2) ratio (SF ratio) at admission is useful for the early identification of severe COVID-19. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective, observational study conducted at the University Hospital, Kyoto, Japan, included 26 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between January 24 and May 6, 2020. COVID-19 severity was classified into two groups based on the SF ratio: ≤ 235 (moderate to severe disease: low group) and > 235 (normal to mild disease: high group). The characteristics, laboratory data, and outcomes of the patients were examined retrospectively and compared between the groups. RESULTS: Of the 26 patients [median age 51.5 years, interquartile range 35.8-67.0], 6 were in the low group (23%) and 20 in the high group (77%). The low group had a higher respiratory rate than the high group (p < 0.05). Blood tests immediately after admission showed that the low group had significantly lower albumin (p < 0.01), and higher lactate dehydrogenase (p < 0.01), C-reactive protein (p < 0.01), and D-dimer (p < 0.01) levels than the high group. Moreover, all patients received antiviral agents; four received continuous renal replacement therapy and invasive positive pressure ventilation, one received extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, and two died in the low group. CONCLUSION: SF ratio measurement at admission could assist clinicians in the early identification of severe COVID-19, which in turn can lead to early therapeutic interventions.

Co-infection of SARS-CoV-2 and Bordetella bronchiseptica in a young man with idiopathic non-cystic bronchiectasis and vitamin D3 deficiency.

This is the first reported case, to our knowledge, of co-infection of Bordetella bronchiseptica and SARS-CoV-2 in a young patient with underlying idiopathic bronchiectasis and vitamin D3 deficiency that was treated successfully with a combination therapeutic regime integrating doxycycline, empiric therapies for COVID-19, vitamin D supplementation, and supportive ICU care. Large prospective studies are required to investigate further the role of co-infections in COVID-19 patients with bronchiectasis. Randomized control trials should examine the putative beneficial role of vitamin D supplementation in patients with COVID-19.

Continuously available ratio of SpO2/FiO2 serves as a noninvasive prognostic marker for intensive care patients with COVID-19.

RATIONALE: Oxygen saturation to fraction of inspired oxygen ratio (SpO2/FiO2) has been described as potential predictor of poor outcome for COVID-19, without considering its time-varying behavior though. METHODS: Prognostic value of SpO2/FiO2 was evaluated by jointly modeling the longitudinal responses of SpO2/FiO2 and time-to-event data retrieved from 280 severe and critically ill (intensive care) patients with COVID-19. RESULTS: A sharply decrease of SpO2/FiO2 from the first to second measurement for non-survivors was observed, and a strong association between square root SpO2/FiO2 and mortality risk was demonstrated, with a unit decrease in the marker corresponding to 1.82-fold increase in mortality risk (95% CI: 1.56-2.13). CONCLUSIONS: The current study suggested that SpO2/FiO2 could serve as a non-invasive prognostic marker to facilitate early adjustment for treatment, thus improving overall survival.